February’s Metroscopia poll for El País, published on Sunday, showed that leftist upstart Podemos keep the lead to win Spain’s next general election for the third time in four months, and the second month in a row.
Podemos maintains Spain’s first political force with 27.7% of the estimated vote, but the vote is down by five tenths. Separately, Mariano Rajoy’s governing Popular Party increases its share slightly to 20.9%, from 19.2% in January and recover to second place while the PSOE, victim of internal fighting falls to third place with 18.3%. Finally, at the fourth place, Citizens’ party (Ciudadanos), led by Albert Rivera, has seen support increase from 8.1% to 12.2%.
The fragmentation has led to talk of pacts or a coalition, although there has been no coalition government since Spain’s return to democracy in the 1970s.
***Note: Spain has a general election due by the end of the year and a regional and municipal election expected in May.